e&e
No 23
Progress
in the Energy Matrix and in the Emissions of Gases Causing the Greenhouse
Effect
Main
Page
Introduction
Reference
Economic Scenario
Preliminary
Evaluation for the 2000-2020 period
Demand
in Equivalent Energy
Electric
Energy Demand
2000
– 2020 Thermoelectric Generation
Participation of Fuels used in Generation
Necessary
Thermal Generation Capacity
Emissions
in Thermal Power Plants
Conclusions
and Sensitivity Evaluation
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Emissions
of Gases Causing the Greenhouse Effect by Thermoelectric Power Plant in
the 2000 -2020 Period
1. Introduction
Our objective in this work is to
develop a methodology for evaluating the emission of the public
thermoelectric power plants in different scenarios of economic development
and the use of this form of generation considering the different usable
fuels. For this purpose we will follow the following path:
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1. Obtain
the production values associated with a Reference Economic Scenario;
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2. Study the evolution of the equivalent energy/GNP ratio in Brazil,
study this ratio in other countries in recent time and its projection in
order to determine the demand growth in equivalent energy associated with
the GNP;
-
3. Study the evolution of electric energy participation in consumption in
equivalent energy in Brazil, study this relationship in other countries in
recent time and evaluation of electric energy consumption
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4. Evaluation of loses, imports and the participation of self producers
aiming at obtaining the energy generation demand concerning public power
plants (and those of self producers);
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5. Evaluation of the participation of public power plants in electricity
generation;
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6. Projection of thermal power plants participation in the total electric
energy generation and the participation of different fuels in this
generation;
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7. Study concerning generation efficiency and its projection for the
different fuels and consumption of these fuels in the corresponding
electricity generation;.
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8. Projection of thermal power plants emissions using fuel demand and
information previously obtained for the 1990-1997 period;
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9. Evaluation of the global capacity factor for different power plant
types;
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10. Evaluation of the necessity of increasing the Installed Capacity.
Note: Steps 9 and 10
are necessary, in a strict sense, for emission calculations and were
carried out to estimate the necessary generation capacity and compare it
with the planned one. The preliminary results can be found at the end of
the present work.
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